| file under: self-interest, Saudi Arabia, peace in the Middle East, Iran, Hamas | 12 Oct 2011 5:08 PM |
| Two Hints That Peace May Be Possible | Posted by Nissim Dahan |
In this increasingly hostile world of ours, it is only natural to search for even the slightest hint that peace may be possible. As I watched the news last night, two such hints came into sharp focus right before my eyes. The first is Iran's recent attempt to assassinate the Saudi Ambassador to the U.S. And the second is the imminent, God willing, release by Hamas of Gilad Shalit, a captive Israeli soldier, in exchange for the release of approximately 1000 Palestinian prisoners being held in Israeli jails.
You may well ask: Why do these seemingly two unrelated news items point to the possibility of peace?
Iran's assassination attempt underscores the threat that the current regime poses to the Sunni Arab world, and for that matter, to the world at large. It is seemingly inconceivable, in light of the threats that confront Iran's leadership, that they would even attempt such a bold and brazen attack, against a Saudi diplomat, on U.S. soil no less. Who in their right mind would do such a thing? And yet, as the last few years clearly demonstrate, Iran's leaders have not hesitated to finance and carry out terrorist attacks of all shapes and sizes, including the bombing of a Jewish synagogue in Argentina, with over 100 killed, as well as the murder of over 100 dissidents throughout Europe.
And as we all know, Iran makes no secret of her desire to develop nuclear weapons, and to use that umbrella, and her proxies, such as Hamas and Hezbollah, to wield an even greater influence throughout the entire region. There is no doubt that at least some of Iran's leaders wish to remake the Middle East in their image. Even if it turns out that this plot was perpetrated by a rogue faction, still: Would you want a rogue faction to have its finger on a nuclear trigger? Is that a risk we can afford to take?
It would be natural, therefore, for Saudi officials to be quite worried about Iranian intentions, especially considering the historical enmity between Shiites and Sunnis, the acts of terrorism sponsored by Iran, the attempt to become a nuclear power, and the recent attempted assassination of the Saudi Ambassador. Taken as a whole, the assassination attempt is just further confirmation of Iran's intent to take charge, and of her willingness to use extra-ordinary means to do so.
So why does this point to the possibility of peace? Because as Saudi looks around, and searches for a way to keep Iranian designs in check, she may have no choice but to look to Israel and the U.S., because only they have the wherewithal to accomplish such a mission, and the self-interest to do so. And therefore, a strategic alliance between Saudi, the Sunni Arabs, Israel and the U.S. may soon be in the offing. And what will be the price for such an arrangement? That is easy enough to fathom; assistance in closing the deal on peace between Israel and Palestine, and leveraging that into an overall understanding between Israel and the Arab world.
The second hint that peace may be in the offing is Hamas' apparent willingness to release Gilad Shalit in exchange for Israel's release of over 1000 Palestinian prisoners, 300 of whom are serving life sentences. Why does this prisoner swap bode well for peace, you may well ask. And the answer is quite simple. Because it shows, in a rather perverse way, that Israel and Hamas can cut a deal, even though both are sworn to each other's destruction, and have vowed never to negotiate with one another. Still, somehow, a deal was cut, and if that deal could be cut, it follows that other deals could be cut as well.
Ask yourself a simple question: Why did Hamas cut this deal? Because it wants to look good in the eyes of the people, and bringing home 1000 Palestinian prisoners looks good. Well, what if the people begin demanding jobs and a greater measure of freedom, which they are? What then? Is it just possible that if Hamas needs to deliver on jobs and freedom, that it too will look to Israel and the U.S. to help in this regard, because in reality, they are best able to do so? And if that is the case, what will be the price that Hamas has to pay? Well, that too is easy to fathom...peace! Nothing more, and nothing less.
So in the end, when push comes to shove, peace may be possible, not because people love one another, God forbid, or because they want a better world for their children, or because they believe in the sanctity of life. No, none of that crap. Peace may come one day because as we face some very common existential threats, we may finally come to realize that we actually need one another, for a change, to stave off these threats, and to save our very own necks.

written by GABE1, October 18, 2011
written by GABE1, October 19, 2011
Throw these Rose coloured glasses away and start dealing with the real world and not some pipe dreams. The Saudis, the Bahrainis and all the other Arab monarchies and tyrannies care about power as do the ordinary Joe Blow on the street. The demos in Gaza have shown that as has the Libyan situation and the Syrian situation and the Yemsn situation.
You are lagging behind the times and you still think that the "arab Spring" was a big deal rather than a blimp on the horizon and the changing of Colonels. There are no democracies in the Middle East and if one is established ,I give it no more than a month to survive.
ASHDIANE HUNT must simply be delusional and is completely incoherent from what I can ascertain.That is the type of sound bites that the proletariat has been peddling since the Russian revolution.
Did you actually read what she says and if you did please explain it to me. Ask her what peace means to her, and people from government disconnect and the OCCUPY movement.
Does a dog bite? How deep is that bite and when does a dog bite? If we had blue dogs than we would not have to ask these questions.This is the type of nonsense one hears from OINKmanists (Humanoids)
written by GABE1, October 22, 2011
I mentioned Syria and you just glossed over this. Saudi Arabia is forging alliances with China and if they have to level Iran China will protect them in the UN, unlike the USA. Russia will side with the Saudis because of Chechnya.
The USA may mistakes but the system and type of governance are sound and will never succumb to the socialism that Obama has been leading the USA towards. I am quite amazed at what you have to say both about the "Arab Spring" the "Occupy Movement" and most importantly about the USA.
written by GABE1, November 01, 2011
The "occupy" movement has nothing to do with anything just ,as I said , a bunch of disgruntled underachieving students and anarchists complaining, not giving solutions, to problems that they are clueless to understand. What have they or the Arab spring accomplished to date. They have pissed off both the Joe on the street an ass of themselves.
In democratic societies we have elections and they can run for office or vote en block for change. There are problems in every society and we cannot please everyone but to say that people in the West go hungry is simply stupid. We have welfare, child protection laws, laws against assault as well as Unemployment Insurance.
What exactly is "occupy" demonstrating against or about?
Hope and unity is within the individual and cannot be taught or enforced by others. Living in a free society without fear, you should understand that. I am sad that you do not.
Please ask Diane Ash to give you an overview of he life experiences and I GUARANTEE that you will be shocked and not in a pleasant way. During my Psych studies, I wrote two papers, both published in the Local newspaper-on the subject of poverty and Welfare and on the subject of extreme Leftist phenomenon. I met many disfunctional humans with ideas of grandeaur and a lack of any reality.
written by GABE1, November 01, 2011
written by GABE1, November 02, 2011
Unlike your characterization, she fits my bill to a tee. That is BTW the first time that I saw her characterization of herself. That is the general pattern of this type of anarchist.
written by GABE1, November 02, 2011
As I said before, you would get my vote if you decided to look at the Indians in our own back yard and Africa and Asia and South America instead of focusing on the Middle East generational welfare Bums
Are you aware that Israel has missions all over the world helping people with agriculture.
written by GABE1, November 04, 2011
written by GABE1, November 04, 2011
I have always maintained that before getting into the nitty gritty of a discussion we must first learn about the person at the other end as that is what determines their outlook on life and politics. I think I know you pretty well from the information that I gleaned from our discussions. I am still at a loss to figure out why your politics are what they are. I guess the cost of my Psych education was not a complete waste.
I cannot as yet figure out AshDiane as the information that I have is sketchy and even somewhat contrdictory. I was a Director of Hawker Siddeley and am well familiar with the British mentality (Hawker Siddeley made Planes-Hawker Hunter-as well as other armaments) I spent a considerable time in both London and Swindon(Loved those Fish and Chips and hated the newspaper wrappings)
When she gets more energy and is able to fill us in ,than I will have a better idea. I do stand by my assessment based on current information.
The settlers in the USA used to circle their wagons and it had nothing to do with squares. Most of the time that dis not work too well just as trying to square a circle no matter how long.



Yes I am encouraged that peace is at hand!!!!!(LOL a gazzillion times.
You make it sound so neat. "We face existential threats" Such a cop out. Israel and Jews face an existential threat. The Arabs are just continuing their killing business as usual and more often than not, amongst themselves. Enough is enough, I and most of the world is starting to wake up to reality and Israeli Oil and Gas will speed up that process.
You know how to stave off that threat. Don't sell us any snake oil.PLEASE!!!!